Change in growing conditions for cropland with HIGH EMISSIONS climate trajectory, 2020-2040

Assumes greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise throughout this century, which results in a global temperature rise of 4.7-8.6º F for 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005. (Based on Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5)

Change in growing conditions for cropland with AGGRESSIVE climate action, 2020-2040

Assumes greenhouse gas emissions start declining rapidly by 2020, which limits global temperature rise to 0.5-1.3º F for 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005. (Based on Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6)